Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group (World) - Qualification

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Arthur Fils		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)	2.2 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
57.6%

Joao Fonseca
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Fonseca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fonseca will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 19. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 99.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Arthur Fils - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	Fils A. retired ✺
14.01.25	Quentin Halys - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Otto Virtanen - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WWL
- Joao Fonseca
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Ugo Humbert - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Andrey Rublev - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
08.01.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
08.01.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
18.12.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	2:3
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	0:2

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