Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: UTS Championship, clay

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Joao Fonseca		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	1.35	2.95
	1.32	3.08
	1.34	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	3.09 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
69.8%

Tallon Griekspoor
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallon Griekspoor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallon Griekspoor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 27. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 57.

Fonseca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Griekspoor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fonseca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Fonseca - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.4%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Joao Fonseca	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Giles Hussey - Joao Fonseca	Canceled
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Joao Fonseca - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWW?L
- Tallon Griekspoor
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
16.07.26	Corentin Moutet - Tallon Griekspoor	2:3 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - James Duckworth	1:3 ✺
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Joao Fonseca - Tallon Griekspoor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide