Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.41	2.7
	1.45	2.53	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.84)	2.5 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
62.4%

Facundo Mena
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's performance.

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Mena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Mena Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 187. Mena is ranked ATP: 401.

Reis Da Silva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reis Da Silva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Nicolas Barrientos - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Facundo Mena	Canceled ✺
04.11.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Taha Baadi - Facundo Mena	Mena F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Mena	Canceled

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