Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.64	2.34
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
56%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's performance.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+4%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 122. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 211.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 2.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Hady Habib - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2
02.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
25.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
13.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled
ATP Challenger
04.05.22	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0

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