Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Genaro Alberto Olivieri

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.56	2.52
	1.34	3.05	Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	2.64 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
64.4%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's performance.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genaro Alberto Olivieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genaro Alberto Olivieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 211. Olivieri is ranked ATP: 228.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Olivieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLL
- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Mariano Navone - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
14.04.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2

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