Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.94	1.78
	1.96	1.85
	1.89	1.81
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
48.3%

Luka Pavlovic
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Pavlovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 202. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 221.

Reis Da Silva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pavlovic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pavlovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Reis Da Silva will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.43%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Clement Tabur	Reis Da Silva J. Retired ✺
18.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jack Kennedy	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 ?WWWW
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Henry Bernet - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW

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