Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo		Miguel Tobon

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
61.1%

Miguel Tobon
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 332., and Tobon is ranked ATP: 444..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Aguilar Cardozo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Aguilar Cardozo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Aguilar Cardozo J. Retired ✺
08.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Santiago De La Fuente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?LWWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
25.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
23.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
22.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
20.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	✺

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Miguel Tobon