Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Valerio Aboian		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.45
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.54)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
37.2%

Miguel Tobon
62.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Valerio Aboian - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tobon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 340., and Tobon is ranked ATP: 466..

In recent outings, Aboian has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tobon shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tobon holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tobon in today's match, at odds of 1.46.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Valerio Aboian - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Facundo Mena - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
20.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
24.10.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Valerio Aboian	✺

Valerio Aboian - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide