Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Miguel Tobon		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.80	1.41
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.34
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
31.7%

Nicolas Mejia
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Tobon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Miguel Tobon - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 466., and Mejia is ranked ATP: 115..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Mejia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Mejia is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Tobon - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.02%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Miguel Tobon - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWL
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Federico Coria - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Michael Zheng - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Nicolas Mejia	Tseng C. H. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Mejia	Mejia N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLW??

Miguel Tobon - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide