Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - Final

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.80	1.96
	1.86	2.06
	1.77	2
	1.83	2.00
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	1.96 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
52.1%

Andrea Guerrieri
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Guerrieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Guerrieri will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 182. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 213.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Guerrieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.1%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Viktor Durasovic - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Olle Wallin - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
12.07.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide