Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.76
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.13	1.74	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.26)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
43.7%

Ilya Ivashka
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 182. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 402.

In recent matches, Schwaerzler has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ivashka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ivashka might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Ivashka will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Harold Mayot	Ivashka I. Walkover ✺
04.08.26	Ergi Kirkin - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Oscar Weightman	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Melvin Kumar	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?WWWL

Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide