Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Phoenix (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mitchell Krueger		Mikhail Kukushkin

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Mitchell Krueger
54.9%

Mikhail Kukushkin
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Krueger is ranked ATP: 140. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 166.

Krueger is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kukushkin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Mitchell Krueger - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Mitchell Krueger - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
01.02.25	Brandon Holt - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Theo Papamalamis - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.25	Luca Nardi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW

Mitchell Krueger - Mikhail Kukushkin