Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.13)	1.99 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
53.1%

Mitchell Krueger
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Krueger will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 61. Krueger is ranked ATP: 140.

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krueger is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Mitchell Krueger - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Mitchell Krueger - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Mitchell Krueger - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide