Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.78
	1.46	2.64
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	2.58 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
63.8%

Neil Oberleitner
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Joel Schwaerzler - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Oberleitner (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 327. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 396.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Schwaerzler could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Schwaerzler will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Emilio Nava - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWLW
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Maxime Janvier - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW

Joel Schwaerzler - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide