Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Referee: Bisello Sinapi S. (Ita)


	Joel Schwaerzler		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.33	3.23
	1.33	3.23
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.28	3.5	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.69)	3.06 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
69.2%

Raul Brancaccio
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Raul Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raul Brancaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joel Schwaerzler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raul Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Joel Schwaerzler - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Brancaccio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Schwaerzler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Schwaerzler will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
Boys Singles French Open
07.06.24	Kaylan Bigun - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Rafael Jodar - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
04.06.24	Keegan Rice - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.05.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW
- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Raul Brancaccio - Martin Klizan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.06.24	Raul Brancaccio - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
06.06.24	Raul Brancaccio - Peter Benjamin Privara	2:1 ✺
05.06.24	Raul Brancaccio - Kuzey Cekirge	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Joel Schwaerzler - Raul Brancaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide