Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Lautaro Midon		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.66	1.29
	3.01	1.35	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.75)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
27.7%

Vilius Gaubas
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lautaro Midon's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 274. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 135.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Midon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
25.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Nicolas Baena	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Alvin Nicholas Tudorica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Ludvig Fredrik Hede	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

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