Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Johan Nikles		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.86	2.01
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Nikles
52.5%

Valerio Aboian
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Nikles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Johan Nikles - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nikles will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nikles is ranked ATP: 518. Aboian is ranked ATP: 510.

Nikles is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aboian's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aboian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Johan Nikles - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Valerio Aboian - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Nikles
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Johan Nikles	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Johan Nikles - Wilson Leite	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Johan Nikles - Johannes Ingildsen	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Johan Nikles - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLW?

Johan Nikles - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide