Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Glasgow (United Kingdom), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Johannus Monday		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.32	3.47
	1.33	3.24	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.14	Watch
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	3.24 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johannus Monday
71%

Rei Sakamoto
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johannus Monday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johannus Monday's performance.

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rei Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johannus Monday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rei Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Johannus Monday - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monday will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monday is ranked ATP: 303. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 368.

Recent matches Monday is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sakamoto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Monday will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Chris Rodesch - Johannus Monday	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Johannus Monday - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Dominik Koepfer - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Johannus Monday - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.01.25	Ryan Peniston - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Filip Misolic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

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