Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	John Millman		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.41	1.64
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Millman
40.1%

Francis Tiafoe
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Millman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Millman than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.8%	0%	26.2%

John Millman - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Millman will win (votes: 45 - 73.8%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 16 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millman: 62.8% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Millman is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Millman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Tiafoe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Millman won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Millman
ATP Astana
30.10.20	Tommy Paul - John Millman	1:2 ✺
28.10.20	Fernando Verdasco - John Millman	0:2 ✺
ATP Cologne 2
21.10.20	Alexander Zverev - John Millman	2:1 ✺
20.10.20	Fernando Verdasco - John Millman	0:2 ✺
ATP Cologne
12.10.20	John Millman - Mischa Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Astana
30.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
28.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
26.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
21.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
19.10.20	Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
03.09.20	Francis Tiafoe - John Millman	3:2
ATP Sydney
07.01.19	John Millman - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP Atlanta
25.07.17	Francis Tiafoe - John Millman	1:2
ATP London
11.06.16	John Millman - Francis Tiafoe	0:2

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