Match Info

Date: 30 October 2020, Friday


	Egor Gerasimov		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.6
			Watch
	2.24	1.6
	2.39	1.65
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.08)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Gerasimov
41.1%

Francis Tiafoe
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egor Gerasimov's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egor Gerasimov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.1%	0%	64.9%

Egor Gerasimov - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 26 - 35.1%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 48 - 64.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 54% – 75.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gerasimov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Astana
28.10.20	Jiri Vesely - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
27.10.20	Lloyd George Harris - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
ATP Cologne 2
21.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
19.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Egor Gerasimov - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Astana
28.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
26.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
21.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
19.10.20	Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Sardinia
14.10.20	Corentin Moutet - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

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