Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	John Sperle		Jakub Paul

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John Sperle
36.8%

Jakub Paul
63.2%

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

28.7%

71.3%

John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Sperle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Paul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sperle is ranked ATP: 822. Paul is ranked ATP: 522.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sperle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Federico Arnaboldi - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Martin Krumich - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Stefan Palosi - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	John Sperle - Stefan Popovic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	John Sperle - Toby Martin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWL
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Jakub Paul - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Laurent Lokoli - Jakub Paul	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Daniel Jade - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Jakub Paul - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

John Sperle - Jakub Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide