Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Jordan Thompson		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.43	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	2.75 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
65.6%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jordan Thompson's performance.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Kovacevic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jordan Thompson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Kovacevic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: Jordan Thompson will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jordan Thompson will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 40. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 76.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jordan Thompson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jordan Thompson is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jordan Thompson - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jordan Thompson	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	Nakashima B. walkover ✺
07.05.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 L?W??
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:3 ✺
26.05.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Emil Ruusuvuori	Canceled ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
04.04.24	Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jordan Thompson	2:1
ATP Newport
17.07.23	Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0

Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide