Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Jordan Thompson		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.54	2.44	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.33	Watch
	1.65	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)	2.28 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
58.3%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jordan Thompson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jordan Thompson will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 41. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36.

Jordan Thompson is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mpetshi Perricard is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Jordan Thompson - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ??LWL
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jordan Thompson	0:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.23	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0

Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide