Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.34	1.61	Watch
	2.31	1.67
	2.26	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.34	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
41.2%

Mariano Navone
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Navone will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 2 - 40%). Navone (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Mpetshi Perricard (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Mpetshi Perricard (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Navone (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 37. Navone is ranked ATP: 85.

Mpetshi Perricard has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Navone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mpetshi Perricard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mpetshi Perricard won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Fabian Marozsan - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Marozsan F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?
- Mariano Navone
ATP Munich
17.04.25	David Goffin - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Mariano Navone - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.10.22	Mariano Navone - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide