Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Marin Cilic		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.28	1.61	Watch
	2.36	1.64
	2.26	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.28	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.42)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
41.7%

Kei Nishikori
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	0%	47.8%

Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Nishikori will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 373. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 200.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cilic won 3.

Cilic in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nishikori is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nishikori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cilic won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Marin Cilic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Marin Cilic - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWW
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Jaume Munar - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
05.09.18	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	2:3
ATP Monte Carlo
20.04.18	Kei Nishikori - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP World Tour Finals
18.11.16	Kei Nishikori - Marin Cilic	1:2
ATP Basel
30.10.16	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.16	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	Nishikori K. retired
ATP Tokyo
09.10.15	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2
ATP Washington
08.08.15	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2

Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide