Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Juncheng Shang		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.99	1.89	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.84	Watch
	1.97	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
48%

Kei Nishikori
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	0%	73.1%

Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Nishikori will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishikori: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 50. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 106.

Recent matches Shang is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nishikori in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
02.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
31.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
19.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWW?L
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
31.12.24	Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	2:0
ATP Atlanta
27.07.23	Kei Nishikori - Juncheng Shang	2:0

Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide