Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN USA
World	Eurosport 2


	Alex De Minaur		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.29	4.01
	1.3	3.84	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.29	3.66	Watch
	1.28	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	3.75 ↑ (3.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
74.4%

Jordan Thompson
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	0%	41.9%

Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 32.

De Minaur in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jordan Thompson is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Daniel Evans	3:1 ✺
29.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Otto Virtanen	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Marcos Giron	3:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWW??
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Hubert Hurkacz	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Constant Lestienne - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Jordan Thompson	Sinner J. walkover ✺
14.08.24	Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
26.03.22	Jordan Thompson - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.21	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	2:1
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.19	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	1:2
ATP Sydney
10.01.19	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	2:0
ATP Brisbane
02.01.19	Jordan Thompson - Alex De Minaur	0:2

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