Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2024, Thursday


	Jozef Kovalik		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.39
	1.64	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.36)	2.28 ↓ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
59%

Dmitry Popko
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dmitry Popko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Kovalik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Popko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Popko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kovalik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
15.01.24	Jozef Kovalik - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.24	Jozef Kovalik - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Jozef Kovalik - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
23.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
21.11.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
16.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Joao Fonseca - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Tristan Boyer - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Timo Stodder	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.06.22	Jozef Kovalik - Dmitry Popko	2:1

Jozef Kovalik - Dmitry Popko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide