Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 November 2023, Thursday


	Fabio Fognini		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.54
	1.54	2.54
	1.44	2.62
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)	2.5 ↓ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
62.6%

Jozef Kovalik
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fabio Fognini - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kovalik will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fognini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kovalik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fognini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
ATP Metz
10.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Alexander Bublik - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
07.11.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
18.10.23	Federico Coria - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Franco Agamenone - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Jozef Kovalik - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
29.04.16	Fabio Fognini - Jozef Kovalik	2:1

Fabio Fognini - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide