Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split (Croatia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Jozef Kovalik		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.78
	2.07	1.79
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.55)	1.73 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
45.9%

Quentin Halys
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jozef Kovalik's performance.

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quentin Halys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jozef Kovalik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quentin Halys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Jozef Kovalik - Quentin Halys Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Halys will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 79.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovalik is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Halys is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Jonas Forejtek - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW
- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Ivan Gakhov - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Quentin Halys - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Emilio Nava - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Quentin Halys - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

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