Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Juan Alejandro Hernandez		Connor Thomson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.35	2.9
	1.49	2.58
	1.44	2.62
	1.46	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (2.07)	2.62 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
64.5%

Connor Thomson
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Alejandro Hernandez's performance.

Connor Thomson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Connor Thomson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Alejandro Hernandez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connor Thomson than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connor Thomson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Connor Thomson Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Thomson (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Thomson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 461. Thomson is ranked ATP: 1304.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Thomson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hernandez could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
25.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Luis Guto Miguel	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Connor Thomson
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Connor Thomson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Connor Thomson - James Story	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Connor Thomson - Marcus Walters	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Connor Thomson - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Alastair Gray - Connor Thomson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Connor Thomson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide