Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Alejandro Hernandez		Matteo Covato

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Juan Alejandro Hernandez
76.5%

Matteo Covato
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Alejandro Hernandez's form might have worsened.

Matteo Covato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Covato's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hernandez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Covato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Hernandez is ranked ATP: 484., and Covato is ranked ATP: 742..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Hernandez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Hernandez is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Juan Sebastian Osorio	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Ivan Dreycopp	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Felipe De Dios	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Gray Voelzke	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tristan McCormick	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL
- Matteo Covato
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Ivan Dreycopp - Matteo Covato	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Emilio Camacho - Matteo Covato	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Matteo Covato - Felipe De Dios	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Matteo Covato - Mwendwa Mbithi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWW

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Matteo Covato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide