Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Casablanca 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.91
	2.16	1.63	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.36)	1.78 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
47.9%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Cruz Martin Manzano's performance.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mario Gonzalez Fernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Cruz Martin Manzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 888. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 613.

Martin Manzano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Walid Ahouda - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Leyton Rivera	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Ruslan Tiukaev	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Marco Furlanetto - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Francesco Ferrari - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Yassine Dlimi - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Kenny De Schepper - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide