Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tanger, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Yassine Dlimi		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.86
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	1.84 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yassine Dlimi
49.7%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yassine Dlimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yassine Dlimi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Yassine Dlimi - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dlimi is ranked ATP: 995. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 666.

Dlimi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gonzalez Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dlimi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yassine Dlimi
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Yassine Dlimi - David Naharro	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Yassine Dlimi - Walid Ahouda	Ahouda W. retired ✺
02.07.25	Niccolo Ciavarella - Yassine Dlimi	Ciavarella N. retired ✺
25.06.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Yassine Dlimi	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Massimo Giunta - Yassine Dlimi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 W??LL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Francesco Ferrari - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Maximilian Figl - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Stijn Slump	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Yassine Dlimi - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0
22.06.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Yassine Dlimi	2:1

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