Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASTAD (SWEDEN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.79	2.02
	1.73	2.06
	1.82	2.08
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.77	2.05	Watch
	1.81	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.19)	2.05 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53.8%

Alexander Shevchenko
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shevchenko is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
15.07.23	Sebastian Ofner - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Jannik Sinner - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Shevchenko	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Shevchenko	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Oscar Otte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0
ITF Tournaments
12.01.21	Alexander Shevchenko - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1

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