Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5


	Lorenzo Musetti		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
			Watch
	1.17	4.9
	1.17	5.76
	1.11	6.49	Watch
	1.18	5.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.27)	5.45 ↑ (3.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
82.4%

Alexander Shevchenko
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Musetti (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 96.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Chengdu
21.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Dino Prizmic	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Lorenzo Musetti	3:0 ✺
01.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLW?
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Chengdu
21.09.25	Taro Daniel - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Gael Monfils	Monfils G. retired ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WW??W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Shevchenko	3:0

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