Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.91
	1.92	1.86	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
48.4%

Thiago Monteiro
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 123. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 108.

Cerundolo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monteiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Santiago
23.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Jaime Faria - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Thiago Monteiro	3:2 ✺
09.01.25	Thiago Monteiro - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Cordoba
26.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2

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