Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Pedro Boscardin Dias

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.86	2.01
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)	2.04 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
54.1%

Pedro Boscardin Dias
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.

Pedro Boscardin Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Boscardin Dias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Boscardin Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Pedro Boscardin Dias Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varillas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 281. Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 258.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boscardin Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Varillas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varillas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Aguilar Cardozo J. retired ✺
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WL?WL
- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.08.22	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Boscardin Dias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide