Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:20	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:20	SportKlub
Bulgaria	16:20	Max Sport 3
Croatia	15:20	SportKlub
Czech Republic	15:20	Nova Sport 2
France	15:20	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	15:20	SportKlub
Slovenia	15:20	SportKlub


	Sebastian Ofner		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.63	1.5
	2.6	1.48
	2.5	1.5
	2.7	1.48
	2.74	1.52
	2.75	1.44
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.58)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
35.7%

Alexander Bublik
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Sebastian Ofner - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ofner is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bublik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ofner won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
21.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?WW?
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Yanaki Milev - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Dominic Thiem	0:3 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP New York
11.02.18	Sebastian Ofner - Alexander Bublik	0:2

Sebastian Ofner - Alexander Bublik