Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Julia Grabher		Ariana Geerlings Martinez

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.58	2.33
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Grabher
60.1%

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Grabher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Grabher than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Julia Grabher - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grabher will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Geerlings Martinez will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grabher (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grabher is ranked WTA: 97., and Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 505..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Grabher could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Grabher is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Julia Grabher - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.64%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Grabher
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Julia Grabher - Lidia Encheva	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Julia Grabher - Deborah Chiesa	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Dalma Galfi - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Dalma Galfi - Julia Grabher	Canceled ✺
27.09.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWL?W
- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Tea Kovacevic - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Laura Boehner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Julia Grabher - Ariana Geerlings Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide