Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Xin Yu Wang		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2.02
	1.87	2.05
	1.76	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.83	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.6)	2.05 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Xin Yu Wang
53.3%

Laura Samsonova
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xin Yu Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Xin Yu Wang - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Samsonova will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 31. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 171.

Wang is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samsonova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Xin Yu Wang - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.33%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xin Yu Wang
WTA Rouen
16.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Sorana Cirstea	Wang Xin. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Chloe Paquet - Xin Yu Wang	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Xin Yu Wang - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Caty McNally - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWWL
- Laura Samsonova
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Tatjana Maria - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Lisa Pigato - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Laura Samsonova - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Mina Hodzic - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Laura Samsonova - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches