Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Tomas Machac		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.5
	1.36	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)	3.38 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
71.9%

Fabian Marozsan
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Machac's performance.

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabian Marozsan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Tomas Machac - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 25. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 57.

Recent matches Machac is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marozsan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Machac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machac is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Almaty
17.10.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
16.10.24	Timofey Skatov - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 ?WLWW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Almaty
14.10.24	Fabian Marozsan - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.24	Yi Zhou - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Rinky Hijikata - Fabian Marozsan	Hijikata R. walkover ✺
18.09.24	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 L??WL

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