Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday


	Rinky Hijikata		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.38
	3.02	1.44
	3	1.41
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	2.95	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.38)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
32%

Fabian Marozsan
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinky Hijikata's form might have worsened.

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabian Marozsan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rinky Hijikata - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabian Marozsan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 81. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 49.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marozsan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Rinky Hijikata - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Borna Coric - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWLW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
27.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Hamad Medjedovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Learner Tien - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Ben Shelton - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

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