Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday


	Juncheng Shang		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.23	4	Watch
	1.24	4.38
	1.25	4.11	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.23	4.23	Watch
	1.23	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)	4.1 ↑ (3.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
76.8%

Mariano Navone
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariano Navone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juncheng Shang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juncheng Shang - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 77. Navone is ranked ATP: 37.

Shang is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Navone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shang is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Francisco Comesana - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Rinderknech	Shang J. retired ✺
30.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
27.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
26.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WLW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Jiri Lehecka - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Mariano Navone - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

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