Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)


	Jurij Rodionov		Christian Garin

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.9	1.4
	3.58	1.32
	3.05	1.43
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.19	1.36	Watch
	2.71	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.38)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
31.8%

Christian Garin
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jurij Rodionov's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	0%	90.3%

Jurij Rodionov - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Rodionov is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Garin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodionov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
04.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.24	Jurij Rodionov - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
02.02.19	Jurij Rodionov - Christian Garin	0:2

Jurij Rodionov - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide