Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Jurij Rodionov		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.23
	1.57	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.99)	2.2 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
57.7%

Hugo Grenier
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jurij Rodionov's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jurij Rodionov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Jurij Rodionov - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Grenier (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 176. Grenier is ranked ATP: 197.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rodionov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rodionov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Patrick Zahraj - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Jurij Rodionov	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LW?WL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Hugo Grenier - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Thijs Boogaard - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Hugo Grenier - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.11.20	Hugo Grenier - Jurij Rodionov	2:1
09.09.19	Hugo Grenier - Jurij Rodionov	2:1

Jurij Rodionov - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide