Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Matteo Martineau		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.98	1.43
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.61)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
33.8%

Jurij Rodionov
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Rodionov (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 350. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 176.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Rodionov is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Martineau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.52%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Patrick Zahraj - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Jurij Rodionov	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:0
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2
14.03.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	0:2
03.06.24	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:1

Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide