Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAINT BRIEUC (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Kacper Zuk		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.1	1.7
	2.16	1.71
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.86)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kacper Zuk
44.7%

Mathias Bourgue
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kacper Zuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kacper Zuk's form might have worsened.

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathias Bourgue's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kacper Zuk than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kacper Zuk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathias Bourgue, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Kacper Zuk - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zuk will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bourgue will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zuk: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zuk in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bourgue is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bourgue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Bourgue to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zuk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kacper Zuk
ITF Tournaments
19.03.23	Beibit Zhukayev - Kacper Zuk	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Daniel Masur - Kacper Zuk	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Neil Oberleitner - Kacper Zuk	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Lewie Lane - Kacper Zuk	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Daniil Glinka - Kacper Zuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
20.03.23	Mathias Bourgue - Luca Castelnuovo	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Mathias Bourgue - Luca Sanchez	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Mathias Bourgue - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
27.02.23	Arthur Gea - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.04.21	Mathias Bourgue - Kacper Zuk	0:2

Kacper Zuk - Mathias Bourgue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide