Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday


	Kaichi Uchida		Benoit Paire

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.65
	2.26	1.67
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.68)	1.65 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
42.9%

Benoit Paire
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaichi Uchida's performance.

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benoit Paire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaichi Uchida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benoit Paire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Kaichi Uchida - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Paire will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchida: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paire will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Uchida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Joris De Loore	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Radu Albot - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWL
- Benoit Paire
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Benoit Paire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Benoit Paire - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Gregoire Barrere - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.01.23	Kaichi Uchida - Benoit Paire	2:1

Kaichi Uchida - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide