Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	01:50	ESPN
Belgium	05:50	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	05:50	HBO Max
Brazil	01:50	ESPN
Bulgaria	06:50	HBO Max
Canada	23:50	RDS App
Colombia	23:50	ESPN
Croatia	05:50	HBO Max
Czech Republic	05:50	HBO Max
Denmark	05:50	HBO Max
Finland	06:50	HBO Max
France	05:50	HBO Max
Hungary	05:50	HBO Max
Mexico	22:50	ESPN
Moldova	06:50	HBO Max
Montenegro	05:50	HBO Max
Netherlands	05:50	HBO Max
North Macedonia	05:50	HBO Max
Norway	05:50	HBO Max
Peru	23:50	ESPN
Poland	05:50	HBO Max
Romania	06:50	HBO Max
Serbia	05:50	HBO Max
Slovenia	05:50	HBO Max
Spain	05:50	HBO Max
Sweden	05:50	HBO Max
United Kingdom	04:50	Discovery+
Usa	23:50	ESPN USA
Venezuela	00:50	ESPN


	Kamil Majchrzak		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.43	2.83	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.83	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)	2.82 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamil Majchrzak
66.4%

Jacob Fearnley
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kamil Majchrzak's performance.

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Kamil Majchrzak - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 34.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Fearnley (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kamil Majchrzak will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kamil Majchrzak will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Majchrzak (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Fearnley (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 59. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 77.

Majchrzak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Majchrzak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Majchrzak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kamil Majchrzak - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
13.10.24	Jacob Fearnley - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1

Kamil Majchrzak - Jacob Fearnley